Sunday, April 28, 2013

Do-It-Yourself NHL Draft Simulator - Try it!

We'll know for sure how the NHL Draft Lottery will shake down on Monday at 6 pm MT when TSN will turn the act of a ball falling out of a re-furbished bingo machine -- a 2-3 second long process, into an 'enthralling' 30 minute television event.

But, who can blame them. They know they'll have millions of eyes on them, especially with the new draft lottery rules that took effect this year in which any of the 14 non-playoff teams could win the lottery and secure that coveted first overall pick. Sure, the odds are better of Florida (1 in 4 chance) winning than Columbus (1 in 200), but anything can happen.

But, why wait for Monday night?  Hold your own NHL Draft Lottery today!

By following my easy five-step, do-it-yourself NHL Draft lottery instructions, you can play the role of James Duthie, Bob McKenzie or any of your favourite TSN hockey personalities and re-create the NHL Draft Lottery event in your own garage, or living room, or even in your kitchen and you can do it right now.

There are two versions -- the simple version, tailored for Calgary Flames fans, and an advanced version.

Note: For some insight into where Calgary's other two draft picks from St. Louis and Pittsburgh could end up, read my Best-case/Worst-case Scenario from earlier today.

NHL Draft Lottery Simulation - Simple Version

This version is specific for Calgary Flames fans and will allow you to hold the lottery, then hold it again, then again, and again, and you can keep going until the Flames win it and get the No. 1 pick. Then, you can go to bed Sunday night and have blissful dreams of Nathan MacKinnon rather than tossing and turning in agony as you have recurring nightmares about Rico Fata (1998) and Daniel Tkaczuk (1997), the Flames last two attempts at drafting sixth overall.

Step 1 - You need 48 of something. Golf balls would work well as it's early in the season and surely you haven't lost that many yet. You could also use pennies because what are they good for anymore. Or, cherry tomatoes, socks, or cheerios from the backseat of your car.

Step 2 - To mimic the 6.2% odds of the Flames winning the lottery, mark three of the 48 objects you've chosen as "#1". If you're using socks because it's laundry day and you have way more than 48 to pick from, then pick three particular ones that will represent #1 pick.

Step 3 - To mimic the 17% odds that a team that finished higher in the overall standings than Calgary wins the lottery and jumps to No. 1, subsequently dropping the Flames down one pick to No. 7, mark eight of the 48 objects with a "#7".

If one of the other 37 objects is drawn, it will mean Florida, Colorado, Tampa Bay, Nashville or Carolina won the lottery and the Flames remain at sixth pick.

Step 4 - Put all of the objects into a bag, box, salad bowl, or laundry hamper and shuffle them up.

Step 5 - Close your eyes, cross your fingers and pick one. 

So, how do the odds in this simulation compare with real life?  It's very close.

For Real - Flames have 6.2% chance of picking No. 1, 17% chance of dropping to No. 7
Simulation - Flames have 6.25% chance of picking No. 1, 16.7% chance of dropping to No. 7

NHL Draft Lottery Simulation - Advanced Version

With this version, you can take your NHL Draft lottery re-creation to the next level by not just determining Calgary's fate, but actually learning who does win the lottery and if it's Edmonton, you can let out a 'phew' and be relieved that it's just a simulation.

Step 1 - Same as above.  You need 48 of something.

Step 2 - You need to allot a certain number of objects to all of the primary teams involved in the lottery. Here's how many of the objects each team will get. Write down the team name or somehow designate that quantity of objects to represent that team.
  • Florida - 12
  • Colorado - 9
  • Tampa Bay - 7
  • Nashville - 5
  • Carolina - 4
  • Calgary - 3
  • Edmonton - 2
  • Other - 6
Step 3 - Put all of the objects into a bag, box, salad bowl, or laundry hamper and shuffle them up.

Step 4 - Close your eyes, cross your fingers and pick one.

Step 5 - If you pick the "Other" object, then that means Calgary didn't win the lottery, nor did the Oilers, and both Alberta teams will end up dropping down one spot in the draft.

No, that doesn't help you with who actually wins, but what you know is it would have been either Buffalo, New Jersey, Dallas, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Winnipeg or Columbus. Sorry, that's as precise as this simulation gets.

How do the odds compare with real life? Again, it's very close. Below are the real percentages followed in brackets by the percentages per this simulation.

Florida25% (25%)
Colorado - 18.8% (18.8%)
Tampa Bay - 14.2% (14.6%)
Nashville - 10.7% (10.4%)
Carolina - 8.1% (8.3%)
Calgary - 6.2% (6.25%)
Edmonton - 4.7% (4.2%)
Other - 12.3% (12.5%)

Have fun!

The Flames Three First Round Picks - Best case, Worst case scenarios

How the NHL Draft Lottery Works - In a Nutshell

The draft lottery works differently this year than in past years and no, it's not because of the shortened season. This is the new way it works moving forward.
  • Only the 14 non-playoff teams can win the lottery. The odds vary from 25% chance for the team in 30th (Florida) to a 0.5% chance for the team in 17th (Columbus). Odds for each team can be seen here.
  • When the drum roll ends and the ball pops out of the NHL's magic lottery machine, whoever it is -- that team gets pick No. 1 in the first round. The ripple effect is whoever was supposed to pick ahead of that team originally, then sees their pick drop down by one.
  • And then... well, there is no "and then".  That's all that happens -- one lottery ball and it's all over. Done. Finished. There's a 1-in-4 chance the Panthers win the lottery and the draft order remains exactly as it is right now -- wouldn't that be anticlimactic. This will be turned into a 30 minute television event, you can be certain, but that's the extent of the action that takes place.
As for the three draft picks that Calgary owns -- it's own, plus the pick belonging to St. Louis and Pittsburgh. Their own pick hinges on the lottery outcome exclusively while the other two depend on playoff results so won't be certain for a couple more months -- although I approximate where they will end up in this article.

Below is the best case scenario, worse case scenario and what I think is the most likely scenario for each of those three picks ending up:
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Calgary's Own Draft Pick

Best Case
- 1st

This requires winning the draft lottery but the odds are not good. By finishing 25th overall or sixth-last, that gets the Flames just a 6.2% chance that the ball with the Flaming 'C' pops out of the NHL draft lottery machine when the drama unfolds on Monday, Apr. 29. It's the equivalent of a 1-in-16 chance.

Worst Case - 7th

For this to happen, it would require one of the eight teams that finished higher than the Flames in the overall standings to win the lottery. Collectively, there's a 17% chance of that happening. If it did, however, that team jumps all the way to No. 1 and as a result, the other teams all bump down one pick.

Most Likely Case - 6th

Simple math suggests this is the most likely spot Calgary will pick. The 76.8% chance of remaining at sixth pick represents the collective odds that one of the bottom five teams win the lottery so Calgary's draft spot goes unchanged.
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St. Louis Draft Pick (from Jay Bouwmeester trade)

Best Case - 19th

By winning 11 of 14 to close the season (this run came after Jay Bouwmeester joined them), the Blues climbed all the way to sixth overall. To think, just making the playoffs was a question mark at one point. Here is the perfect storm of playoff outcomes Flames fans will be hoping for in order for this pick to end up inside the top 20.
  • St. Louis (4th seed in West, plays 5th seed L.A.) must lose in the first or second round -- it doesn't matter which of the two rounds.
  • Western final must consist of two non-division winning teams that finished below the Blues in the overall standings. Options are #5 Los Angeles, #6 San Jose, #7 Detroit, #8 Minnesota.
  • Eastern final must consist of two non-division winning teams that finished below the Blues in the overall standings. Options are #5 Toronto, #6 NY Rangers, #7 Ottawa, #8 NY Islanders.
In this scenario, the Stanley Cup winner gets 30th pick, the other finalist gets 29th. The two teams knocked out in the conference final get 27th and 28th. Next comes the division winners so Pit, Mtl, Wsh, Chi, Van, Ana would get picks from 21st thru 26th. Of the eight remaining teams, Boston had more points than the Blues so would get 20th. That leaves St. Louis at 19th.

Worst Case - 30th

If the Blues win the Stanley Cup, they pick last in the first round, it's that simple. Losing in the Stanley Cup final leaves the pick at 29th. If St. Louis stays hot and makes it to the Western Conference final, the pick would be no better than 27th and would be either that or 28th depending on the record of the team knocked out in the Eastern final.

Most Likely Case - 22nd

Here is what I think is most likely to occur:
  • St. Louis gets knocked out of the playoffs in the second round.
  • Western final will consist of two of the top three teams (I predict Anaheim and Chicago).
  • As there's always an upset somewhere, I predict it happens in the East and that the Eastern final will consist of Pittsburgh and an underdog from the bottom four teams.
In this scenario, the four conference finalists are assigned draft picks 27 to 30. Then comes the other three division winners, who are assigned picks 24 to 26. That leaves Boston, who will still finish higher than St. Louis and pick 23rd. The Blues then come next and would be assigned the 22nd pick.
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Pittsburgh Draft Pick (from Jarome Iginla trade)

Best Case - 25th

For this scenario to shake down, here's what needs to occur:
  • Pittsburgh loses out in the first or second round of the playoffs
  • First overall finisher Chicago also loses out in the first or second round of playoffs
As mentioned, picks 27 to 30 are reserved for the four conference finalists. The division winners have their draft picks assigned next and since Chicago was the only team with a better record than Pittsburgh, the best a Flames fan can hope for is that the Blackhawks don't make the semi-finals so end up with 26th pick. That would drop the Pittsburgh pick down to 25th.

Worst Case - 30th

Same as above. If the Penguins win the Stanley Cup, they pick last in the first round. Flames fans definitely do not want to see a St. Louis-Pittsburgh Stanley Cup as that is the combined worst of the worst scenarios leaving those two acquired draft picks as 29th and 30th.

Most Likely Case - 29th

Pittsburgh makes it to the Stanley Cup final but sorry Iggy, they get knocked off by the West representative -- probably Chicago. But, the opponent doesn't matter as the bottom line is the draft pick ends up in the runner-up spot of second-last.

Saturday, April 27, 2013

Five Scenarios for Calgary 1st Round Pick

Heading into the final weekend of this abbreviated NHL season, there is still great mystery around where the Flames own first round draft pick will end up. It could be as high as 1st, it could be as low as 7th, and there are three other possibilities in-between.

Of the little we do know for certain, Calgary won't pick 2nd and won't pick 3rd. Of course, that's barring a trade and don't rule that out, the old 'I'll give you our two lower first round picks for your one higher first round pick', but that's all juicy debate for another day and such endless possibilities are not part of what I'm breaking down today.

Here are the five scenarios for where that Flames first pick could end up for the June 30 draft in New Jersey along with how each could happen. Just for fun, I've included my own odds of that particular scenario unfolding.

1st Pick (odds of it happening, my guess - 8%)

This requires winning the NHL lottery and regardless of the outcome of Saturday's games and where the Flames finish up in the overall standings, they will still have a chance of jumping up to No. 1 thanks to the new NHL Draft lottery rules for 2013.

In previous years, only the bottom five teams had a chance at moving up to first pick. While any non-playoff team could win the lottery in the past, you could only move up a maximum of four spots. So if you finished 25th where the Flames wake up this morning and you won the lottery, you could only move up to second pick.

That's all different now and while the odds of winning the lottery get increasingly more extreme the higher up in the standings you finish, any of the 14 non-playoff teams has a chance at winning the lottery.

The odds for the Flames winning the lottery would be:
  • 10.7% if Carolina picks up a point in Pittsburgh Saturday and Nashville wins in Columbus.
  • 8.1% if just one of the above results happen
  • 6.2% if neither of the above results happen

4th Pick (odds of it happening, my guess - 12%)

For Calgary to drop down two more rungs into 27th in the overall standings, this hinges on favourable outcomes in the two games mentioned above. Here are the match-ups in a nutshell.

  • Carolina at Pittsburgh (5:30 pm MT) - Jordan Staal and his brothers playing against his former team. Could that be motivation for the Hurricanes? You bet. However, equally motivated to close the season with a victory are the Penguins who have lost their last two games and would prefer not to enter the post-season on a three-game losing skid. As for Pittsburgh's health concerns, word is that Sidney Crosby will not play Saturday but James Neal and Paul Martin will return.

  • Nashville at Columbus (5:00 pm MT) - This could be considered the most important game in franchise history for the Blue Jackets, who need to win and hope for help to make the playoffs for the second time. They're at home, too, so it's going to take something special from Nashville to knock them off.  That said, Minnesota had everything to play for Friday night and Edmonton had nothing yet the Oilers waltzed into the Xcel Energy Center and handed it to the Wild 6-1 so you just never know.

What are the odds of both Carolina and Nashville winning?  Well, if you took those two teams tonight on a Sports Select ticket and added in a heavy favourite as your third game, e.g. Anaheim at home vs. Phoenix, a $20 wager would win you $300 if you got all three games correct. So in short, the odds of this happening and in your best English accent -- not bloody likely.

However, if both happened and the draft lottery was won by one of the bottom three teams -- Tampa Bay, Carolina and Florida, and combined there is a 58% chance of that happening, then Calgary would remain as the fourth pick.

5th Pick (odds of it happening, my guess - 25%)

The Flames have never had a top five pick since the franchise moved to Calgary. This could change if just one of the two outcomes detailed above happened -- either Carolina gets a point or Nashville wins.

In such a scenario, Calgary would finish 26th and be in that fifth draft slot, which comes with 76.8% odds of staying in the top five -- 8.1% chance of winning the lottery and moving to first pick, and a 68.7% chance that one of the four teams below them wins the lottery and the Flames remain at fifth pick.

6th Pick (odds of it happening, my guess - 45%)

This is, by far, the most likely scenario and it reflects where Calgary is this morning, which is 25th place overall. The Flames would remain there if the two favourites win tonight -- Pittsburgh beats Carolina in regulation and Columbus beats Nashville.

The odds of the Flames remaining in the top six after the lottery are 83% -- 6.2% chance of winning the lottery and moving to No. 1 pick, and a 76.8% chance that one of the five teams below them wins the lottery and Calgary stays right where they are.

7th Pick (odds of it happening, my guess - 10%)

This is the worst-case scenario for the Flames. It means the two results they hoped for Saturday night didn't pan out. Further, at the draft lottery on Monday night, a team that finished higher than the Flames in the overall standings bucks the odds and wins the lottery and jumps to No. 1. The ripple effect of that is Calgary dropping down one draft position.

If Calgary entered the draft lottery in that sixth draft slot, there is a 17% chance a team like Philadelphia, Dallas or Winnipeg could win the lottery and bump the Flames down to seventh pick.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Best, Worst, and Most Likely Scenario for Calgary's Three First Round Draft Picks

Make no mistake, last night's 4-3 Flames loss to Nashville was huge, keeping Calgary's dream alive of having a top five draft pick for the first time. However, did the Flames win one too many games over the last couple weeks? It looks that way but we'll know for sure by Saturday.

There is still much to be decided over the season's final few days and playoff results will factor into the two acquired picks as well, but to give you a sense of where Calgary's three first round picks will be for the June 30 draft in New Jersey, here's a quick look at the best case scenario, the worst case scenario, and most likely scenario.
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Calgary's Own Draft Pick

Best Case - 1st

This requires winning the draft lottery and their best odds of doing that are if they finish 28th (already mathematically eliminated from finishing any lower). That third draft slot comes with a 14.2% chance that their ball is the one that pops out of the lottery machine when this made-for-TV event occurs on Monday, Apr. 29.

A lot of unlikely things need to happen for the Flames to sink to 28th -- think Washington Generals beating the Harlem Globetrotters, but as Tuesday night proved with five upsets, you just never know. Calgary's 'perfect storm' scenario would be:
  • Calgary loses its final two games in St. Louis and Chicago
  • Tampa Bay picks up a minimum five points in its final three games -- vs Tor, at Bos, vs Fla
  • Edmonton (vs Chi, at Min, vs Van), Carolina (vs NYR, at Pit) and Nashville (at Det, at Clb) all win one of their remaining games
In this scenario, Flames would still pick 3rd, even if they lose the draft lottery, assuming Florida or Colorado are the team that wins and the odds of that would be 43.8%.

Worst Case - 12th

For this absolute disastrous finish to occur, here are all the things that would need to happen:
  • Calgary wins its final two games
  • Phoenix (vs SJ, vs Col, at Ana), New Jersey (vs Pit, at NYR) and Buffalo (vs NYI) all lose their remaining games in regulation
  • Philadelphia (vs NYI, at Ott) fails to pick up more than one point in its remaining games
  • Edmonton (vs Chi, at Min, vs Van) loses one of its final three games
In this scenario, Calgary finishes in 20th place, which is the 11th draft slot. But then, to compound the misery, the 2.4% chance that a team finishing 17th to 19th wins the draft lottery actually happens and Calgary's pick falls yet another spot.

Most Likely Case - 6th

The way I see it, what's most likely to happen is:
  • Calgary loses its final two games
  • Only one of Edmonton, Carolina and Nashville will win one of its remaining games
This would leave Calgary 25th overall and the 76.8% chance of one of the top five teams winning the lottery happens so the Flames pick remains at 6th -- and sadly for the organization, they'll still be waiting for that elusive top five pick.
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St. Louis Draft Pick (from Jay Bouwmeester trade)

Best Case - 17th

For this to happen, here's how the season has to play out. It probably won't but what the heck:
  • St. Louis (vs Cal, vs Chi) loses its final two games
  • Toronto (at TB, at Fla, vs Mtl) picks up one point in its remaining games
  • Washington (vs Ott, vs Bos) wins both of its final two games
  • NY Islanders (at Phi, at Buf) pick up three points in their remaining games
  • Minnesota (vs Edm, at Col) wins both of its remaining games
  • NY Rangers (at Car, vs NJ) win both of its remaining games
This would drop St. Louis from 9th overall, where they are today, to 14th place at season's end. Then, in the playoffs, St. Louis would have to lose in either the first or second round, and the 15th and 16th place teams would both need to make it to the Conference Finals in the playoffs.

Worst Case - 30th

If the Blues win the Stanley Cup, they pick last in the first round, it's that simple. If the Blues lose in the Western Conference final, that pick is 27th or 28th.

Most Likely Case - 20th

What is most likely to happen:
  • St. Louis splits its final two games
  • Toronto picks up three points in its final three games
This leaves St. Louis 10th overall in the final standings. In the playoffs, I'm going to assume the Blues get knocked out of the playoffs in the second round (or first) and that one Cinderella team seeded below them goes on a run and makes it through to the Conference final at minimum. In this scenario, that Blues pick gets one better and ends up 20th.
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Pittsburgh Draft Pick (from Jarome Iginla trade)

Best Case - 25th

For this scenario to shake down, here's what needs to occur:
  • Pittsburgh loses out in the first or second round of the playoffs
  • Chicago finishes 1st overall but then also loses out in the first or second round of playoffs
Picks 27 to 30 are always reserved for the four conference finalists. The Pittsburgh pick cannot get any higher than 25th -- even with an abrupt first round exit as the Penguins are apt to do sometimes, because division winners have their draft pick assigned next, after the four conference finalists. Thus the importance of other division winners with higher overall finish than Pittsburgh (e.g. Chicago) also not making it beyond the first two rounds. In this scenario, Chicago would pick 26th.

Worst Case - 30th

Same as above. If the Penguins win the Stanley Cup, they pick last in the first round. Flames fans definitely do not want to see a St. Louis-Pittsburgh Stanley Cup as that is the combined worst scenario, leaving those two acquired draft picks as 29th and 30th.

Most Likely Case - 29th

Pittsburgh makes it to the Stanley Cup final but sorry Iggy, they get knocked off by the West representative -- probably Chicago. But, the opponent doesn't matter as the bottom line is the draft pick ends up in the runner-up spot of second-last.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

All Victories Not Created Equal

Most hockey fans have come around to accept the shootout as the way to decide NHL regular season games. Sure, you could argue its a flawed way of deciding a hockey game, but it certainly beats leaving a game undecided.

While on the surface, a shootout victory appears to carry the same weight as winning a game in regulation or overtime, there is a caveat to those two points and fans in Calgary and Columbus -- ironically, could very well be negatively impacted this week by this so-called 'Howson rule'.

Three years ago, then Blue Jackets' General Manager Scott Howson, who was recently named senior VP of Hockey Operations for the Edmonton Oilers, introduced a rule change to the NHL Board of Governors. Intended to lessen the impact of shootout victories deemed fluky by many, the proposal immediately adopted was an NHL rule change making regulation plus overtime victories the number one tie-breaker if teams finish tied in the standings.

Now you know the history and importance of the 'ROW' (regulation/overtime wins) column when you view the NHL standings.

When ROW Wins Are Not So Good

It's been over 14 months since the Calgary Flames last won a 'skills contest', having lost their last eight shootouts since beating Vancouver on Feb. 11, 2012. This year, Calgary and Carolina are the lone two teams without a shootout victory.

If the Flames were in a hunt for a playoff spot, the 'Howson rule' would be very beneficial as their prowess in winning games prior to a shootout gives them the tie-breaker over any teams near them in the standings.

However, for a team preferring to be closer to No. 30 at this point to have a better draft spot and better perecentage in the draft lottery, this rule could end up costing them two or three draft slots.

Meanwhile, Columbus -- in a dogfight with Minnesota, Dallas and Detroit for the final two playoff spots in the West, has the fewest ROW wins meaning they need to be ahead in points of two of those teams as they lose the tie-breaker with all three of them.

Calgary's 44 Points Conundrum

Looking at their remaining schedule, it's very conceivable that New Jersey (vs Mtl, vs Pit, at NYR) and Buffalo (at Pit, vs NYI) will lose their final games in regulation and finish at 44 points. With a single 'loser point' in its next three games, Philadelphia (vs Bos, vs NYI, at Ott) could end up at 44 points too. 

Enter Calgary, currently at 42 points. It would not be a shock if the Flames beat the reeling Predators in Nashville tonight then finished off with losses in their back-to-back games in St. Louis and Chicago. If that scenario unfolded, that's three or four teams all tied at 44 points with Calgary rising to the top, or more so, seeing its first round draft pick drift further and further away from No. 1.

For the Flames, if they win Wednesday night, they may as well run the table then and head into the summer in style because the draft damage will likely have already been done.

Monday, April 22, 2013

A First Impression (Nearly) Like No Others

If it felt like Calgary defenceman Mark Cundari was on the ice a lot on Sunday, you're right, he was. I set out to investigate exactly how much is "a lot" and how unusual it was for a kid to play that much in his NHL debut.

Scoring a goal in your first game as Cundari did Sunday in the Flames 4-1 win over the Minnesota Wild is special but not overly rare. In fact, it just happened last week with Flames winger Ben Hanowski. Collecting a two-point game as Cundari did is pretty memorable too but again, not unprecedented. What did set Cundari's NHL debut apart was the huge amount of ice time the 22-year-old logged. I only found two players that played more in their first NHL game -- Tomas Kaberle in 1998 (a whopping 29:13) and Victor Hedman in 2009 (26:27).

Spread across 27 shifts, Cundari played a total of 24:54, behind only Ryan Suter (30:46) and his defence partner TJ Brodie (27:59) for the game -- Brodie's ice time was a career-high. While Suter was on the ice nearly six extra minutes, this was also career game No. 587 for Suter compared to No. 1 for Cundari, who had spent the past two years in the AHL after going undrafted during his four years with the Windsor Spitfires (OHL). Not once did he get a chance to strut his stuff in the NHL until yesterday.

To put that time-on-ice figure into context, it's more than veteran minute muncher Jay Bouwmeester is averaging per game this year and that's one of the qualities Bouwmeester has been known for during his career. Bouwmeester, of course, was the player the Flames traded to the St. Louis Blues on Apr. 1 to acquire Cundari, goaltender Reto Berra and a conditional first round draft pick.

To get a sense of how impressive Cundari's ice time was, I went back to the 1997-98 season when the NHL started tracking time-on-ice officially. I reviewed all the rookie ice time leaders each year that were in the 19-plus minutes range as an average and looked up how much action they saw in their NHL debut. It was pretty interesting and my findings are below. I'm calling the list unofficial because while unlikely, it's possible someone played 23 or more minutes in their debut but then averaged 19 or less minutes the rest of the year and thus, did not get identified in my research.  However, you can consider this list to be pretty darn close.

All in all, it was a stellar first impression for Cundari, who was a big factor in helping Calgary win its fifth game in its last six. Judging by the NHL resumes of those around him on the list, this is likely just the start of a solid NHL career and sooner or later, the turning in of his current No. 42 for a more permanent jersey number.

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Most Time-on-Ice in NHL Debut (unofficial)

1. Tomas Kaberle Tor - 29:13, Oct. 10/98 vs Det (age 20) 1996 Rd 8, #204
2. Victor Hedman TB - 26:27, Oct. 3/09 at Atl (age 18) 2009 Rd 1, #2
3. Mark Cundari Cgy - 24:54, Apr. 21/13 at Min (age 22) *Undrafted*
4. Duncan Keith Chi - 24:18, Oct. 5/05 vs Ana (age 22) 2002 Rd 2, #54
5. Dion Phaneuf Cgy - 24:10, Oct. 5/05 at Min (age 20) 2003 Rd 1, #9
6. Ryan Murphy Fla - 23:51, Feb. 21/13 vs Wpg (age 19) 2011 Rd 1, #12
7. Ryan Whitney Pit - 23:40, Nov. 1/05 at NJ (age 22) 2002 Rd 1, #5
8. Jeff Petry Edm - 22:51, Oct. 28/10 vs Buf (age 22) Rd 2, #45
9. Anze Kopitar LA - 22:16, Oct. 6/06 at Ana (age 19), Rd 1, #11
10. Jaroslav Spacek Fla - 21:59, Oct. 9/98 vs TB (age 24), Rd 5, #117
11. Toni Lydman Cgy - 21:48, Oct. 5/00 vs Det (age 23) Rd 4, #89
11. Cam Fowler Ana - 21:48, Oct. 9/10 at Nsh (age 18) Rd 1, #12

Other Notables

Justin Schultz Edm - 20:52
Keith Yandle Phx 19:57
Dennis Wideman Cgy - 19:23
Jonas Brodin Min - 19:05
Sidney Crosby Pit - 19:00
Jack Johnson LA - 18:45
Derek Morris Cgy - 18:04
PK Subban Mtl - 18:04
Erik Karlsson Ott - 17:41
Drew Doughty LA - 17:40
Alex Ovechkin Wsh - 17:36
Tyler Myers Buf - 16:13
Kris Letang Phi - 15:01
Niklas Kronwall Det - 13:26
Jay Bouwmeester Fla - 13:20
Ryan Suter Nsh - 12:49
Shea Weber Nsh - 11:08
Zdeno Chara NYI - 7:30